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Assumptions Are Expensive

Verification Is Leadership

By Brent Murton, Founder, Epik Consulting  


Principle Judgment

Applies To Hospitality • Leadership • Operations • Events

Reading Time 4 min


The Truth


One of the most expensive words in operations is:

"Assumed."


Major failures rarely begin with major mistakes.


They begin with small assumptions that go unchallenged.


When expectations are high, verification is not bureaucracy.

It is leadership.


The Assignment


Several months of planning had gone into a formal installation dinner involving senior government officials and invited guests.


Timelines had been established.


Standards had been reviewed.


Teams were aligned.


The evening was ready to begin.


Earlier that day, final culinary preparations were underway.


A kitchen make-up air system needed to be activated before equipment could be operated safely.


A team member advised that it had already been turned on.


Everyone accepted the information.


No one verified it.


What Happened


During service preparations, the fire alarm activated.


Emergency responders arrived.


Operations stopped.


Fortunately, the issue was resolved quickly and the event continued successfully.


But the lesson remained.


The equipment performed exactly as designed.


The process did not.


What Became Clear


Leadership is often misunderstood.


People sometimes mistake standards for micromanagement.

They are not the same thing.


Micromanagement controls people.


Standards protect outcomes.


Verification is not a sign of distrust.


It is accountability.


The more important the outcome, the less room there is for assumption.


The Lesson


Throughout my career, I have found that operational failures rarely begin with catastrophic mistakes.


They usually begin with ordinary assumptions.


Someone believed.

Someone trusted.

Someone assumed.


The strongest organizations do not eliminate trust.


They build verification into important work.


Trust matters.


Verification matters more.


The Epik Principle


Standards protect outcomes.


Verification is leadership.


Assumptions are expensive.


Ask Yourself


If your most important event began in one hour...


What critical assumption has everyone accepted...

...but no one has actually verified?

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